Phils head to Atlanta for NL East clash
Baseball Betting Lines
06/30/2009 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Philadelphia Phillies will close out the last portion of their current road trip with the first of three straight games against the NL East-rival Atlanta Braves at Turner Field.
Philadelphia is 2 1/2 games ahead of the Florida Marlins and three games in front of the New York Mets for the division lead, and has won two in a row to improve to 3-3 on a nine-game trek. The Phillies are coming off a weekend series in Toronto and won the set with Sunday's 5-4 victory behind Chase Utley's go-ahead two-run triple that highlighted a four-run fourth inning.
Shane Victorino, Ryan Howard and Carlos Ruiz finished with an RBI apiece for the Phillies, who recorded their first series win since taking two of three against the Mets from June 9-11.
Phils veteran Jamie Moyer gave up four runs -- including three homers -- on five hits in five innings for the win. He walked two and struck out four to pick up only his third victory in his last 11 outings. Moyer passed Bob Gibson for 43rd on the all-time wins list with his 252nd.
"I made a number of bad pitches and the ones I made that were bad got hit hard," Moyer said on the team's official Web site.
Phils closer Brad Lidge posted his 14th save with a scoreless ninth, but did allow a hit and walked a batter to make things interesting. Lidge was making his first appearance in a save situation since returning from a sprained right knee that landed him on the 15-day disabled list.
Meanwhile, shortstop Jimmy Rollins is expected to be back in the lineup and bat leadoff against the Braves. Rollins hasn't recorded a hit since collecting three against Toronto on June 18. He was benched the last four games and is riding a five-game hitless streak.
Philadelphia, which won for just the fourth time in its last 15 tries, will send Joe Blanton to the mound on Tuesday. Blanton is 2-1 with a solid 2.75 earned run average over his past six starts, but is coming off a 7-1 loss at Tampa Bay the last time out on Wednesday.
Blanton pitched seven innings of two-run ball and struck out 10 Rays batters, while issuing a pair of walks. The righty, who is 3-1 in his last four decisions, is 4-4 with a 5.06 ERA in 14 outings this season.
Blanton also sports an 0-1 mark and a 9.64 ERA in three career starts against Atlanta. He is 0-1 in two starts versus Atlanta this season.
The Braves, who are five games behind the Phillies in the NL East race, ended a four-game slide and salvaged the finale of a three-game series versus the Boston Red Sox with Sunday's 2-1 victory behind youngster Tommy Hanson's six shutout innings. Hanson improved to 4-0, struck out two and walked a pair of hitters.
"Once I got out there and the adrenaline started pumping, I felt fine," said Hanson, who was battling a case of the flu. Hanson's last two wins have come against the New York Yankees and Boston.
Braves closer Mike Gonzalez allowed a run in the ninth, but managed to record his ninth save of the season.
Garret Anderson and Chipper Jones both homered for Atlanta, which is 3-4 on a 10-game homestand.
Taking the hill for the Braves Tuesday will be Derek Lowe, who will start in place of Kenshin Kawakami. Kawakami is being skipped in the rotation to allow his bruised neck to heal, while Lowe is 0-3 with a 12.34 earned run average over his last three starts.
Lowe is coming off a setback versus the Yankees on Thursday, when he allowed eight runs -- six earned -- and 11 hits in just three innings of an 11-7 setback. He fell to 7-6 in 16 starts and raised his ERA from 4.09 to 4.53 this season after the Yankees game.
The right-hander hopes to have the same success against the Phillies he had during a 4-1 victory on April 5 in South Philly. Lowe tossed eight shutout innings of two-hit ball, struck out four and allowed no walks that day to improve to 5-1 in 12 games (8 starts) against Philadelphia.
Atlanta leads the 2009 season series against Philadelphia by a 4-2 count, with all games played at Citizens Bank Park. The Braves have won six of the last eight matchups between the teams
Philadelphia went 14-4 against Atlanta a year ago, including a 9-0 mark at Turner Field.
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What Is the Point Spread?
What are Sports Betting Point Spreads?
In any football or basketball game (the main sports that use point spreads) there are two teams playing against each other.
Those teams, though, are rarely exactly evenly matched – meaning that typically one team has a better chance than the other to win the game. If bettors were allowed to bet on who was simply going to win the game, smart ones would obviously bet on the better team (likely winning more than 50% of the time in the process).
If winning were that easy the Las Vegas and online sportsbooks would stop taking any bets! This is where the point spread comes in: the basic function of the point spread is to balance the likelihood of each team “winning” by adjusting the final score by the point spread. After this adjustment is made you get the Against The Spread result (ATS result for short).
Let’s look at Super Bowl XXXIX, New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Most people believed the defending champ Patriots to be the better team – so if betting were simply based upon which team would win the game, an uneven majority of people would have wagered on New England. But, by using the point spread, the bookmakers adjusted the terms of the bet, evening the proposition so about half the people believed the Pats to be the smart bet, while the other half considered Philly to be the smart bet.
How to Read Point Spreads
New England Patriots -7 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The better team, called the Favorite, is expected to win the game and must “give” or “lay” points to the weaker team. The favorite is listed with a minus sign and the number of points they are favored by (e.g., New England -7)
In the case of our example, New England must not only win the game, but they must win by more than 7 points for Pats bettors to have a winning ATS result. An Eagles bettor wins his bet either if:
- Philly wins the actual game by any amount of points
OR
- Philly loses the game by less than 7 points.
-
There was also the possibility that the final score could land exactly on the spread number (for example, the Pats winning 28-21 when -7), which is called a “push” or “no action” and a refund is then issued to bettors of both teams.
The same game with the same point spread can be considered from the weaker team’s perspective: The Underdog (Philly in the case of our example) is not expected to win the game and online football betting thus receives or “gets” points given by the stronger team. When a game is stated from the underdog’s perspective the team is listed with a plus sign and the number of points they are underdogs by:
Philadelphia Eagles +7 vs. New England Patriots
Keep in mind that Philadelphia +7 and New England -7 is the same point spread on the same game, simply stated differently. The first is from the underdog’s perspective; the later is from the favorite’s.
For Those Who Like to Consider Things Mathematically
Not a must, but for some a mathematical approach is insightful. You can determine the ATS winner by either:
- Subtracting the point spread from the favorite’s score (thus the minus sign before the number) and then compare to the underdog’s score
OR
- Adding the point spread to the underdog’s score (thus the plus sign before the number) and then compare to the favorite’s score
Who Really “Won” the Super Bowl odds ?
Let’s look at the actual result of Super Bowl XXXIX: New England 24 Philadelphia 21
The favorite, New England, won the game but not by more than the point spread they were favored by (7), so the ATS result was a LOSS for Pats bettors.
Looking at it from the underdog’s perspective, Philly did not win the game, but they lost by less than the point spread (7), so the ATS result was a WIN for Eagle bettors.
Mathematically considered, 24 for the favorite Pats minus 7 equals 17, which is less than the 20 the Eagles scored, so the underdog Eagles win the ATS result (or you could figure 20 plus 7 equals 27 for the Eagles, which is more than 24 for the Pats).
Emily’s boyfriend understood the point spread and wagered $100 on the Eagles at +7. The Eagles may not have gotten a Super Bowl ring, but since they won the ATS result Emily’s boyfriend cashed his bet – giving him money to take her out to a nice dinner.
And now hopefully you understand how to read point spreads, putting you one step closer to joining the fun of sports betting.
To visit this internet sportsbook go to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting and World Series odds.
College Football Betting Tips From a Pro
While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.
Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.
The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.
What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.
These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.
College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.
Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.
Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.
Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.
I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.
Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.
It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.
As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.
Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your NCAA college football betting needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.